George Mason
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
461  Michael Conway JR 32:55
607  John Holt SR 33:12
698  Alex Ott SR 33:21
772  Wil McReynolds SR 33:30
870  Craig Morgan SR 33:39
982  Sean Nestor SR 33:49
1,069  Steven Flynn SO 33:56
1,284  Josh Schlickenmeyer SR 34:14
1,455  James Luehrs JR 34:27
1,778  Tyler Oliver SO 34:56
2,683  Adam LaFemina FR 37:00
National Rank #116 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #16 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 8.9%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Conway John Holt Alex Ott Wil McReynolds Craig Morgan Sean Nestor Steven Flynn Josh Schlickenmeyer James Luehrs Tyler Oliver Adam LaFemina
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 1128 33:01 32:55 33:55 34:05 34:33 34:26 34:56
Mason Invitational 10/05 1076 32:54 33:53 32:50 33:11 34:04 34:03
Atlantic 10 Championships 11/02 1121 33:05 33:13 33:35 33:34 33:37 33:51 33:55 34:11 34:36 37:01
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1057 32:35 33:13 33:02 33:46 33:25 33:46 33:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.4 401 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.6 5.3 11.1 15.6 17.2 17.4 13.1 8.6 4.6 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Conway 54.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
John Holt 70.5
Alex Ott 81.3
Wil McReynolds 90.4
Craig Morgan 100.6
Sean Nestor 111.0
Steven Flynn 118.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 0.8% 0.8 8
9 2.6% 2.6 9
10 5.3% 5.3 10
11 11.1% 11.1 11
12 15.6% 15.6 12
13 17.2% 17.2 13
14 17.4% 17.4 14
15 13.1% 13.1 15
16 8.6% 8.6 16
17 4.6% 4.6 17
18 2.1% 2.1 18
19 0.9% 0.9 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0